Threat Modeling
Before the race, identify what will break. Body systems, mental states, course conditions, crew failures. Build a written SOP for each likely failure mode.
This is what offensive security teams do before an engagement. Identify assets, identify threats, identify likely paths, prepare playbooks. The athletic version is the same exercise applied to a 100 mile race.
Every athlete completes a course threat model 8 weeks out. They identify the dark spots. The climb out of Rucky Chucky. The back half of Cocodona. The Lance to Towns climb. For each, they write a one-page SOP: expected internal state, three things to do, three things to avoid, the decision rule for continuing or pulling.
Threat model template builder. Course library with known dark spots for major races. Coach review of athlete-completed threat models, with comments and approval state.
